August 10, 2011 - Private cloud computing is among the technologies that have moved into the “Peak of Inflated Expectations”, according to the 2011 Emerging Technologies Hype Cycle by research firm Gartner. Other technologies the firm mentioned include wireless power, Internet TV and social media activity streams.
Gartner's 2011 Hype Cycle Special Report provides an assessment of the maturity, business benefit and future direction of more than 1,900 technologies, grouped into 76 distinct Hype Cycles. The Hype Cycle graphic has been used by Gartner since 1995 to highlight the common pattern of overenthusiasm, disillusionment and eventual realism that accompanies each new technology and innovation. The Peak of Inflated Expectations is an early stage of the cycle when, according to Gartner, publicity produces a number of success stories, which are often accompanied by scores of failures.
The report is updated every year to track technologies along this cycle and provide guidance on when and where organizations should adopt them for maximum value.
"Themes from this year's Emerging Technologies Hype Cycle include ongoing interest and activity in social media, cloud computing and mobile," Jackie Fenn, vice president and Gartner fellow, said in a statement. Private cloud computing “has taken over from more-general cloud computing at the top of the peak, while cloud/Web platforms have fallen toward the Trough of Disillusionment since 2010,” Fenn said.
Transformational technologies that will hit the mainstream in less than five years include tablets and cloud computing, as well as in-memory database management systems, big data and extreme information processing and management.
In the long term, Gartner says, 3D printing, context-enriched services, the “Internet of Things,” Internet TV and natural language question answering will be major technology forces. Looking more than 10 years out, 3D bioprinting, human augmentation, mobile robots and quantum computing will also drive transformational change.
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