It has been pretty much agreed by tech execs that when it comes to cyberattacks and data breaches, the issue is no longer "if" but "when". With that in mind, the shift in 2016 may be from incident prevention to incident prediction.

That is the forecast of Richard Greene, CEO at Seculert, a security analytics firm in Silicon Valley. Greene said cyber criminals are always one step ahead of IT security experts, but it's time to reverse that trend. That requires a new focus on understanding when security incidents will most likely happen in the first place.

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