(Bloomberg) -- Worldwide personal-computer shipments will fall further than forecast this year as the strong U.S. dollar and the lack of new products threaten sales, researcher IDC said.

Shipments will drop 4.9 percent in 2015 instead of the previous forecast for 3.3 percent decline, the Framingham, Massachusetts-based research firm said in a statement Thursday. PC sellers bought more computers than anticipated in the last three months of 2014 to boost inventory before Microsoft Corp. started to scale back subsidies in early 2015, while the strong dollar is crimping PC exports, the researcher said.

Earlier today, Intel Corp. cut its first-quarter sales outlook, citing weak corporate demand and sluggish economies, particularly in Europe. The weaker projections also signal the end of last year’s corporate hardware upgrades to replace XP software from Microsoft, which helped to stabilize sales. Shipments won’t pick up again until Microsoft and Intel roll out new products later in 2015, IDC said.

 “We got a bit of a respite with XP replacements and with the slowing of tablet growth, but ultimately long term we’ve got this shift of people’s activities to other devices,” Loren Loverde, an analyst at IDC, said in an interview.

The shift to mobile devices is most apparent in emerging markets, where shipments are forecast to decline 4.7 percent in 2015 despite strong economic growth, according to Loverde. That’s because consumers there are having to choose between a smartphone and a PC. Mostly, they go for the phone, he said.

“If you’re going to have one device the phone is going to be your first device,” Loverde said.

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